Shelter from the storm
After decades of EU military, police and border assistance missions from the Balkans to Sub-Saharan Africa, not to mention anti-terrorism operations, the question is now inevitably: should the EU also be doing territorial defence? French President Emmanuel Macron has been a long-standing advocate for Europe’s collective defence and “strategic autonomy.”
Brieger is adamant that NATO is, and will remain, the cornerstone of European defence. But, there is an important role for the EU, he believes, whether that is in the form of a ‘European Defence Union’ as suggested by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, or under some other name.
The Coordinated Annual Review on Defence (CARD) certainly points to a shift in posture (see EDM page 8) highlighting the “resurgence of protracted, high-intensity wars with operations spanning all domains.” The last Capability Development Plan (CDP) revision took place in 2023, leading to the definition of EU priorities, which include:
- Next generation, multi-layered air and missile defence
- Space services for better situational awareness
- Full spectrum cyber defence
- Military mobility and strategic air - and sealift capabilities
- Autonomous systems and AI
- Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) defence
“There is no NATO army, there is no EU army. We have a single set of forces, and Member States – NATO allies or not – are sovereign,” says Brieger. “So by working together in the EU, by enhancing our capabilities, our infrastructure and our readiness, we contribute to European defence, including territorial defence. Given the risk of conventional attack against the continent, then we need both the EU and NATO to be ready to secure our democratic way of life.”
At a time of growing great power rivalry, few would disagree that the world is more unstable and dangerous. Russia’s war in Ukraine, Iranian missile strikes and the Hamas attack on Israel all highlight instability near the EU’s border. Authoritarian regimes across the globe are pushing aggressive policies worldwide, using political, economic, and military power – along with disinformation and cyber attacks – to undermine democratic societies.
U.S. President Donald Trump could test NATO’s unity.
“We don’t yet know what incoming President Trump’s new policies will be, but we know that U.S. priorities lie not only in Europe,” Brieger says. “It’s an additional incentive to do more in Europe in a more cooperative way with strategic autonomy.”
Has there been a shift in the European defence mindset, after decades of relying on the United States for European protection? “I am not sure if it has been fully adopted across all areas of government, but the process has clearly begun since Russia’s aggression against Ukraine. There are many other pressing issues, such as the economy, healthcare, and social demands. But security must be prioritised, as without it, nothing else can function.”